CD Nerja Fundación vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
NER
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NER
1 - 2
VIL
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
NER
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
NER
2 - 0
UDT
64%
21%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALC
5 - 0
NER
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 3
BEN
26%
26%
48%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 3
RJA
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 3
ALH
43%
26%
31%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BAE
2 - 1
RJA
47%
27%
26%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 1
PUE
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |