CD Nerja Fundación vs Atlético Estación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
4 - 2
NER
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NER
1 - 1
CDT
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
NER
45%
21%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NER
2 - 1
RON
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
CAL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Estación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
RON
32%
25%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CDT
2 - 0
ATL
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 2
ALH
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CDM
5 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |