CD Nerja Fundación vs Atlético Estación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ELP
3 - 1
NER
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NER
1 - 7
ATL
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -3 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MIJ
4 - 0
NER
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NER
1 - 5
CAN
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDL
3 - 0
NER
14%
21%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Estación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
CDC
23%
23%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
ATL
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAR
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 4
CAL
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ELP
2 - 0
ATL
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |