Neretva vs Zmaj Blato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NER
3 - 1
NER
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NER
1 - 2
HJK
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NER
2 - 1
OMI
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
OMI
3 - 1
NER
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NER
3 - 0
HDK
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zmaj Blato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ZMA
2 - 1
MAK
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NKC
1 - 1
ZMA
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ZMA
1 - 0
HRV
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ZMA
3 - 0
PRB
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NKR
2 - 1
ZMA
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |