Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
PRB
1 - 1
NER
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
NER
26%
22%
53%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GOS
2 - 0
NER
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NER
3 - 2
UBV
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
ZAG
2 - 1
NER
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
MAK
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MAK
2 - 0
UBV
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 1
MAK
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
MAK
0 - 2
KAM
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
HNK
0 - 1
MAK
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |