Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
NER
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
NER
2 - 0
HVB
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NER
2 - 1
HRV
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PRI
3 - 2
NER
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NER
3 - 1
NKC
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MAK
8 - 0
HRV
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 1
MAK
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAK
1 - 0
NKC
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
OMI
5 - 0
MAK
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAK
2 - 1
HDK
43%
24%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |