Neretva vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GOS
2 - 1
NER
26%
26%
49%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NER
3 - 2
OMI
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NER
2 - 0
NER
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HRV
5 - 2
NER
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NER
2 - 1
MOS
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ZAD
1 - 1
MAK
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
OTO
2 - 2
ZAD
17%
21%
63%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ZAD
2 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ZAD
2 - 1
HNS
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ZAD
0 - 1
HNS
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |