Neretva vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
KAM
3 - 2
NER
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
JUN
3 - 1
NER
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
NER
3 - 1
VOD
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
UBV
2 - 1
NER
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
NER
0 - 1
ZAG
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SPL
2 - 0
JUN
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
3 - 1
SPL
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VOD
2 - 1
SPL
8%
14%
78%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
SPL
3 - 0
UBV
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ZAG
1 - 1
SPL
27%
22%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |