Neretva vs Sloga Mravince analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
6º
33
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
95% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VOD
1 - 6
NER
34%
23%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
NER
4 - 2
SPL
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OMI
2 - 0
NER
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NER
3 - 1
HNK
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +4 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NKH
6 - 1
NER
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sloga Mravince
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPL
1 - 2
SMR
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 0
OMI
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 0
SMR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 1
NKH
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 3
SMR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |