Neretva vs Primorac Biograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
6º
37
1º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
95% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
JUN
5 - 0
NER
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NER
1 - 1
NER
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NKG
1 - 4
NER
41%
23%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NER
1 - 1
SMR
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VOD
1 - 6
NER
34%
23%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Primorac Biograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PRB
4 - 0
KAM
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
USK
2 - 1
PRB
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
PRB
1 - 1
VOD
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SPL
1 - 1
PRB
22%
21%
56%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GOS
0 - 3
PRB
24%
22%
53%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |