Neretva vs Urania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
14º
7º
25
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
USK
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 1
NER
40%
24%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NER
9 - 2
KAM
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PRB
2 - 0
NER
45%
23%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
4 - 1
NER
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Urania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
UBV
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 0
JUN
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NKH
4 - 0
UBV
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 1
SPL
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NER
2 - 0
UBV
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |