Neretva vs Orkan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HAJ
0 - 1
NER
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MAK
1 - 1
NER
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NER
1 - 3
OTO
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
NER
43%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NER
1 - 0
ZMA
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NKO
3 - 3
MAK
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
OTO
2 - 1
NKO
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NKO
4 - 1
VAL
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ZMA
3 - 0
NKO
65%
18%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NKO
0 - 1
JAD
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |