Neretva vs HNK Zadar analysis


38	ELO	45
-16.1%	Tilt	-4.8%
6852º	General ELO ranking	45770º
52º	Country ELO ranking	266º
ELO win probability

22%

Neretva

24.8%

Draw

53.2%

HNK Zadar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

22%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%

24.8%

Draw

0-0

7.6%

1-1

11.8%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

24.8%

53.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+5%

+53%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

39

6º

15º

6º

68

1º

6º

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

1º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	68	71	1º	100%
2º	64	67	2º	100%
3º	54	57	3º	100%
4º	47	50	4º	100%
5º	46	46	5º	100%
8º	39	42	6º	62.5%
6º	41	41	7º	47%
7º	40	41	8º	45.5%
9º	37	37	9º	74.5%
10º	36	36	10º	54.5%
11º	34	35	11º	42%
12º	33	34	12º	55.5%
13º	31	32	13º	68.5%
14º	30	30	14º	82.5%
15º	27	28	15º	95%
16º	21	22	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neretva

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Aug. 2023	NKH 6 - 1 NER 51% 22% 27%	37	39	2	0
27 May. 2023	USK 1 - 0 NER 44% 23% 33%	37	35	2	0
20 May. 2023	NER 0 - 1 SMR 48% 25% 27%	38	37	1	-1
13 May. 2023	KAM 3 - 1 NER 28% 23% 49%	39	30	9	-1
06 May. 2023	NER 2 - 1 PRB 43% 24% 33%	39	38	1	0

Matches

HNK Zadar

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Aug. 2023	HNK 4 - 0 KAM 72% 16% 11%	46	35	11	0
22 Jul. 2023	HNK 0 - 3 SOL 35% 22% 43%	46	50	4	0
26 May. 2023	PRB 1 - 2 HNK 31% 25% 44%	46	37	9	0
20 May. 2023	HNK 3 - 1 NKG 68% 18% 14%	45	37	8	+1
13 May. 2023	ZAG 0 - 0 HNK 52% 23% 25%	45	46	1	0