Nepean Stars vs Old Edwardians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepean Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
WSB
1 - 0
NSF
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
NSF
1 - 2
KAM
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
NSF
0 - 1
BOR
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Old Edwardians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
OLD
1 - 0
MIG
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
OLD
1 - 1
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
OLD
46%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |