Nepal Army vs Three Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
6º
32
2º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FRC
1 - 2
ARM
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 1
APF
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NRT
3 - 3
ARM
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ARM
2 - 0
MFC
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 0
SAK
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Three Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
JYC
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
SAT
0 - 1
STA
7%
14%
79%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
KHU
0 - 2
STA
6%
13%
81%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
FRC
3 - 3
STA
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
APF
2 - 0
STA
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |