Nepal Army vs Three Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
JHA
2 - 1
ARM
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
APF
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
ARM
3 - 0
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Three Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 1
STA
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 4
STA
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
POL
2 - 2
STA
47%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
APF
1 - 4
STA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |