Nepal Army vs Swayambhu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 2
HIS
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARM
4 - 0
MAB
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2010 |
ARM
3 - 2
RCT
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2010 |
SAK
1 - 3
ARM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
APF
2 - 1
ARM
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Swayambhu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2011 |
MFC
1 - 1
SWC
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FRC
3 - 0
SWC
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |