Nepal Army vs Morang XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 1
STA
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
JHA
2 - 1
ARM
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
APF
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
ARM
3 - 0
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morang XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 4
APF
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 4
STA
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
LUM
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 5
FAR
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
JHA
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |