Nepal Army vs Manang Marshyangdi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
6º
32
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 0
CHU
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
ARM
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
ARM
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ARM
2 - 3
KHU
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
JYC
1 - 3
ARM
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Manang Marshyangdi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHU
3 - 0
MAN
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
POL
49%
24%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KHU
2 - 1
MAN
10%
17%
74%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
ARM
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
JYC
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |