Nepal Army vs Manang Marshyangdi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ARM
2 - 1
FRC
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
POL
0 - 3
ARM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +13 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
ARM
5 - 0
LUM
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ARM
7 - 0
FAR
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARM
7 - 0
MOR
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manang Marshyangdi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
APF
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 3
CHE
10%
18%
72%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ABA
5 - 0
MAN
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
MIN
55%
22%
24%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 2
MAN
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |