Nepal Army vs Manang Marshyangdi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
STA
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
RCT
1 - 2
ARM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2012 |
POL
2 - 1
ARM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
MAB
0 - 2
ARM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
APF
0 - 5
ARM
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manang Marshyangdi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
MAB
2 - 4
MAN
47%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 0
APF
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 2
MFC
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2012 |
ICM
1 - 4
MAN
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
JYC
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |