Nepal Army vs Machhindra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
6º
45
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 0
SAK
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
5 - 0
ARM
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -16 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
ARM
5 - 1
SLP
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MFC
1 - 0
ARM
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
ARM
3 - 0
BRB
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Machhindra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 3
JYC
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 2
BLU
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -15 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MFC
1 - 0
ARM
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
SAK
1 - 3
MFC
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
MFC
6 - 1
SAY
84%
11%
6%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |