Nenzing vs Lochau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
41%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
5º
15º
5º
59
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 3
NEN
12%
15%
73%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AND
4 - 4
NEN
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NEN
3 - 1
BIZ
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
KBL
2 - 2
NEN
7%
12%
81%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NEN
4 - 1
FCH
70%
16%
15%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
5 - 1
AND
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
BIZ
2 - 4
LOC
32%
21%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
6 - 1
KBL
88%
9%
4%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 1
LOC
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LOC
3 - 0
HIT
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | -1 |