Nenzing vs Fussach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
5º
15º
5º
25
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 4
NEN
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEN
3 - 3
AUS
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 1
NEN
25%
20%
56%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
NEN
1 - 2
LUS
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
4 - 1
NEN
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fussach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
AND
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BIZ
3 - 4
SCF
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SCF
4 - 2
KBL
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FCH
3 - 1
SCF
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 1
HIT
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |