Nenzing vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
12º
11º
33
9º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUD
0 - 5
NEN
19%
19%
62%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NEN
2 - 1
DOR
46%
21%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
NEN
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NEN
2 - 5
ROT
42%
21%
38%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 0
NEN
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
BLA
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 1
HAR
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 3
ADM
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 1
HAR
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
EGG
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |