Nelson vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
NEL
1 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
BRA
0 - 2
NEL
78%
14%
9%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
NEL
4 - 3
BAR
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
BAR
0 - 0
NEL
78%
13%
9%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
MUD
0 - 1
NEL
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
DER
2 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
POR
2 - 0
DER
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
BPO
6 - 1
POR
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1924 |
POR
1 - 0
SOU
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
POR
2 - 6
BPO
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |