Nelson vs Port Vale analysis

Nelson Port Vale
60 ELO 62
1.8% Tilt -7.5%
24577º General ELO ranking 2684º
1123º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Nelson
18.8%
Draw
15.9%
Port Vale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
Nelson
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
Port Vale
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Nelson
Port Vale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nelson
Nelson
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 1924
NEL
Nelson
1 - 1
Bradford City
BRA
53%
23%
24%
60 68 8 0
29 Mar. 1924
BRA
Bradford City
0 - 2
Nelson
NEL
78%
14%
9%
59 69 10 +1
22 Mar. 1924
NEL
Nelson
4 - 3
Barnsley
BAR
42%
24%
34%
58 68 10 +1
15 Mar. 1924
BAR
Barnsley
0 - 0
Nelson
NEL
78%
13%
9%
58 68 10 0
08 Mar. 1924
MUD
Manchester United
0 - 1
Nelson
NEL
80%
13%
7%
57 71 14 +1

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 1924
DER
Derby County
2 - 0
Port Vale
POR
71%
18%
11%
62 70 8 0
29 Mar. 1924
POR
Port Vale
2 - 0
Derby County
DER
45%
25%
30%
60 71 11 +2
22 Mar. 1924
BPO
Blackpool
6 - 1
Port Vale
POR
68%
20%
13%
61 70 9 -1
17 Mar. 1924
POR
Port Vale
1 - 0
Southampton
SOU
34%
24%
42%
60 74 14 +1
15 Mar. 1924
POR
Port Vale
2 - 6
Blackpool
BPO
51%
25%
25%
61 69 8 -1