Nelson vs Newton Aycliffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1924 |
NEL
3 - 1
LEE
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 0
NEL
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1924 |
LEI
3 - 1
NEL
74%
16%
11%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
NEL
1 - 1
LEI
56%
22%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
POR
0 - 0
NEL
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
3 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 3
SPE
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DAR
4 - 2
NEW
19%
21%
59%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -2 |