Nelson Suburbs vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
16.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
6º
5º
21
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 42 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 40 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 40 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 28 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 27 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 21 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 5 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
NSF
1 - 1
DUN
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
UOC
1 - 6
NSF
7%
12%
81%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
NSF
21%
18%
62%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FER
1 - 0
NSF
27%
21%
53%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FER
3 - 5
NSF
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 3
CAS
11%
14%
75%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
DUN
3 - 4
NOM
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
NOM
1 - 0
UOC
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
CHR
1 - 1
NOM
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
FER
1 - 1
NOM
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |