Nelson Suburbs vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
8º
6º
20
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CNT
0 - 10
NSF
8%
12%
80%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
5 - 0
COA
56%
20%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 1
DUN
52%
20%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
3 - 4
NSF
36%
21%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COA
2 - 1
NOM
68%
17%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
6 - 2
GIA
29%
20%
52%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 0
NOM
91%
6%
3%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
0 - 2
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -2 |