Nelson Suburbs vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
11.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
8º
6º
16
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 3
NSF
41%
21%
38%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
5 - 4
NSF
89%
7%
4%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NSF
0 - 1
CAS
10%
12%
77%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NSF
7 - 1
SUF
84%
10%
5%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 9
NSF
8%
11%
81%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 7
CAS
6%
10%
84%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
GIA
10%
14%
76%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WNK
2 - 2
GIA
53%
20%
28%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
QPA
0 - 1
GIA
50%
20%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
FER
57%
19%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |