Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NSF
0 - 5
CHR
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 1
NSF
18%
18%
64%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -3 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MOS
2 - 4
NSF
29%
21%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
NSF
1 - 3
CAS
10%
16%
75%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
NSF
1 - 1
COA
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
COA
1 - 2
FER
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
27%
22%
52%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHR
0 - 0
FER
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FER
4 - 0
MOS
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
CAS
5%
10%
86%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | -1 |