Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
7 - 3
NSF
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CHR
3 - 1
NSF
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 2
NSF
17%
18%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 1
SUF
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NOM
0 - 4
NSF
28%
21%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
FER
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
FER
0 - 3
CHR
29%
22%
50%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
FER
1 - 3
CHR
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
SUF
3 - 2
FER
12%
16%
71%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FER
3 - 2
NOM
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |