Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
NSF
7 - 0
TAH
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
NSF
6 - 0
FCN
7%
13%
81%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NSF
0 - 2
BIR
12%
17%
71%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
NSF
1 - 0
ECB
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
NSF
1 - 0
GIA
51%
21%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
FCT
0 - 4
FER
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
HAL
1 - 2
FER
14%
17%
68%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FER
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |