Nelson Suburbs vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.7%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
8º
6º
6
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 1
NSF
33%
20%
47%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 6
CHR
13%
16%
70%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
COA
2 - 3
NSF
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
2 - 1
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
4 - 5
GIA
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 5
CHR
4%
9%
86%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 7
DUN
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 2
FCT
77%
13%
10%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
NOM
13%
16%
71%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |