Nelson Suburbs vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
8º
6º
26
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
3 - 4
NSF
36%
21%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
NSF
40%
22%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 4
CAS
9%
12%
79%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
4 - 1
NSF
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -3 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
1 - 0
NSF
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
FER
52%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
5 - 2
DUN
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 5
DUN
40%
21%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
NOM
62%
18%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 6
AUC
3%
8%
89%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |