Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
72.5%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.7%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
6%
2-5
2.2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
6º
5º
28
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 42 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 40 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 40 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 28 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 27 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 21 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 5 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 72% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 0
NSF
22%
19%
59%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NSF
7 - 1
UOC
89%
7%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CHR
1 - 1
NSF
81%
12%
8%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
NSF
4 - 1
FER
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 1
CHR
12%
16%
73%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 3
NOM
91%
7%
3%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
WNK
3 - 2
CAS
13%
14%
74%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 2
COA
70%
15%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SUF
1 - 5
CAS
5%
9%
87%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
BIR
49%
20%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |