Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
5.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
79.1%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
8º
6º
39
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
4 - 1
NSF
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
1 - 0
NSF
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NOM
3 - 5
NSF
20%
19%
61%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COA
1 - 1
NSF
31%
21%
48%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 6
CAS
2%
6%
92%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CHR
4 - 1
CAS
19%
20%
62%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
WEL
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 2
NAP
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |