Negreira vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VIV
3 - 1
NEG
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NEG
2 - 0
AGR
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 1
NEG
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NEG
0 - 3
DUB
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PUE
2 - 0
NEG
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 2
FOZ
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ORD
0 - 1
ARZ
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ARZ
0 - 0
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ASP
2 - 1
ARZ
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ART
1 - 2
ARZ
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |