Negreira vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CDD
1 - 0
NEG
42%
28%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ALO
1 - 1
NEG
57%
24%
19%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NEG
0 - 0
BOU
53%
24%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
COX
0 - 0
NEG
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
NEG
4 - 1
NAR
39%
25%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 0
PON
24%
25%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 4
CHO
12%
22%
67%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
GON
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
CHO
18%
24%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 0
RIB
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |