Neftochimic Burgas vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 6
LSO
17%
25%
58%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CVA
2 - 1
NEF
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 3
BER
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LPL
2 - 0
NEF
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 3
CSK
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LUD
4 - 0
LSO
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
DZG
1 - 2
LUD
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LUD
0 - 1
LSO
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
LUD
1 - 1
CVA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BER
0 - 1
LUD
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |