Neftekhimik vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftekhimik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VOL
3 - 1
NEF
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
NEF
1 - 1
KRS
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
NEF
4 - 0
TEK
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NEF
0 - 0
ALA
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
NEF
0 - 1
SPA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FAK
0 - 0
DIN
44%
29%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
IRT
1 - 0
FAK
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
FAK
0 - 0
TOM
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 3
FAK
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
FAK
0 - 1
OLY
17%
26%
57%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |