Neftçi II vs Qaradağ Lökbatan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
13º
2º
41
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ENE
4 - 1
NEF
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
NEF
2 - 3
ZAQ
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
MOI
1 - 1
NEF
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
ZIK
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 0
NEF
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Qaradağ Lökbatan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 1
SFK
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
FKQ
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
FKQ
5 - 0
FKQ
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SKF
2 - 2
FKQ
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
FKQ
2 - 0
ZAQ
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |