Neftçi II vs FC Kapaz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
13º
2º
43
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FFK
0 - 3
NEF
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NEF
7 - 1
FKM
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 1
NEF
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
NEF
2 - 0
ZAQ
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 3
NEF
20%
23%
58%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FC Kapaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
SFK
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
2 - 3
FCK
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 0
ENE
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MOI
2 - 1
FCK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 2
ARA
21%
27%
52%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |