Neftchi vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
XOR
2 - 1
NEF
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NEF
0 - 3
BUN
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PAK
1 - 0
NEF
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
NEF
3 - 2
DSA
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MET
2 - 2
NEF
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
QIZ
1 - 0
BUN
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
QIZ
3 - 1
DSA
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 1
QIZ
40%
26%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
AND
2 - 1
QIZ
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
OLM
5 - 1
QIZ
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |