Neftchi vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PAK
2 - 0
NEF
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
TER
0 - 0
NEF
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
NEF
3 - 0
DOS
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
NAS
2 - 0
NEF
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
NEF
3 - 0
ORO
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
QIZ
2 - 0
TER
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
DOS
0 - 4
QIZ
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
QIZ
1 - 0
NAS
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
QIZ
3 - 0
QQN
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
QIZ
1 - 2
DOS
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |