Neftchi vs Oq-Tepa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
AND
0 - 2
NEF
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NEF
2 - 1
SOG
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
NEF
3 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 11 | 54 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NEF
0 - 4
PAK
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 1
NEF
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oq-Tepa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
PFK
0 - 1
NAV
6%
12%
83%
|
9 | 67 | 58 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
FAR
3 - 1
PFK
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
BFA
0 - 4
PFK
43%
24%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |