Neftchi vs Pakhtakor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
5º
53
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
NEF
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
KRS
2 - 3
NEF
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
HKR
2 - 1
NEF
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
SEP
3 - 1
NEF
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 2
NEF
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
PAK
2 - 3
FKO
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DYN
0 - 1
PAK
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 2
DBA
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 4
PAK
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
PAK
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |