Neftchi vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
QQN
1 - 1
NEF
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
FKG
0 - 2
NEF
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1994 |
NEF
3 - 3
MHT
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
NEF
1 - 0
ATL
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1994 |
NEF
2 - 1
NAV
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ORO
1 - 0
FKY
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
ORO
1 - 4
MHT
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1994 |
PAK
5 - 1
ORO
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
TTA
2 - 0
ORO
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1994 |
KCH
3 - 2
ORO
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |