Neftchi vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
8º
5º
47
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
NEF
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 2
AND
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
QIZ
1 - 1
NEF
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SFA
1 - 5
NEF
6%
14%
80%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
OLM
5 - 3
SOG
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
FKL
0 - 2
OLM
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
OLM
3 - 4
NAS
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
OLM
2 - 2
BUX
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
KFA
0 - 16
OLM
5%
12%
83%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | 0 |