Necaxa vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PUM
0 - 3
NEC
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 1
NEC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 0
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
VER
1 - 1
SNL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TIG
0 - 3
VER
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
VER
1 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
46%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |